- 1 Serbia vs Germany: no head coach on the bench and no home fans in the stands
- 2 Serbia: Mitrović and Vlahović return to a side that’s lost six straight
- 3 Germany: three clean sheets in four under Klopp, and only three goals scored
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Serbia vs Germany
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Serbia vs Germany: no head coach on the bench and no home fans in the stands 
Veljko Paunović won’t be in the dugout in Belgrade on Friday. The Serbia coach picked up bookings against the Netherlands and again against Germany in Munich, and the second one earned him a one-match ban for the return game.
He won’t have a crowd behind his players either. UEFA fined the Serbian federation a total of €129,500 for incidents at three autumn matches, including racist conduct, flares and a pitch invasion in Belgrade, and the Germany game will be played without regular home supporters. Organised groups of children under 14 are allowed in the east stand, along with around 2,000 travelling Germany fans.
Kick-off at the Rajko Mitić stadium is 19:45 UK time on Friday 13 November, on matchday five of League A Group 2.
Serbia have lost all four group games and six in a row overall, scoring four and conceding 16 across that run. They’ve let in at least two goals in every one of those six matches. Germany, on five points, sit three behind the Netherlands and Greece, who meet in Amsterdam on the same night.
The stakes are different at each end. The top two reach the quarter-finals in March 2027, and Germany still have to face the Netherlands in Berlin on Monday. The two worst bottom-placed teams across League A are relegated straight to League B, which is the fight Serbia are now in.
The reverse fixture on 1 October went Germany’s way 2-0 in Munich, Bischof scoring on 39 minutes and Wirtz on 61. Germany have won three of the five meetings since 2003, with one draw and Serbia’s only win coming at the 2010 World Cup.
Serbia: Mitrović and Vlahović return to a side that’s lost six straight 
The losing run started before the Nations League. Serbia were beaten 3-0 by Cape Verde in Lisbon on 31 May and 5-1 by Mexico in Toluca five days later, and reports at the time said Paunović offered to resign after those two results.
The four group defeats were narrower. Živković put them ahead after four minutes against Greece before Tzolis and Douvikas turned it into a 2-1 loss in the second half, Jović scored straight after half-time in a 2-1 defeat to the Netherlands, Germany won 2-0 in Munich, and Cvetković’s goal in the return game with the Dutch wasn’t enough either.
Aleksandar Mitrović and Dušan Vlahović are back for this window after missing all four autumn matches. Mitrović, now at Al-Rayyan, last played for Serbia in a March friendly against Saudi Arabia, and Vlahović arrives from Beşiktaş. Milenković is also back from injury.
The midfield takes a hit. Maksimović and Lukić are both suspended after reaching the yellow-card limit, and Nemanja Gudelj and Mimović were left out of the 29-man squad named on 3 November. Samardžić, Kostić and Sergej Milinković-Savić are the obvious candidates to fill the gaps.
The record under Paunović reads two wins from ten matches. Who takes charge on the touchline on Friday hadn’t been confirmed when this was written.
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Germany: three clean sheets in four under Klopp, and only three goals scored 
Jürgen Klopp took over in July after Julian Nagelsmann left following the World Cup. Germany went out in the round of 32 there, beaten 4-3 on penalties by Paraguay after a 1-1 draw, having lost 2-1 to Ecuador in their last group game.
Four matches under Klopp have brought one win, two draws and a defeat. Nmecha scored in the 1-1 in Amsterdam, Greece won 1-0 in Augsburg in Klopp’s first home game, Serbia were beaten 2-0 and the last outing finished 0-0 in Thessaloniki. That’s three goals scored and two conceded, with three clean sheets in four.
He named 24 players on 5 November. Füllkrug is recalled after nine Bundesliga goals for Werder Bremen, and Gladbach’s Wael Mohya, 17, has his first call-up. Waldemar Anton withdrew with a muscle problem on 8 November and Leipzig’s Ridle Baku, who has eight caps, replaced him.
Musiala is injured and expected to be out for around five weeks, and Gnabry is also missing. Raum, Woltemade, Adeyemi and Bisseck weren’t selected, while Neuer, Rüdiger and Groß have all retired from international football, so three of the senior names from recent tournaments are gone for good.
Goals are the issue. None of Germany’s four group games has produced more than two, and Nmecha, Bischof and Wirtz are the only scorers. Havertz and Füllkrug are the two centre-forward options, and I’d expect Wirtz to be the player Serbia’s reshaped midfield struggles to track.
Probable lineup Serbia: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Germany: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Serbia vs Germany
Our prediction: Germany to win to nil
Serbia have conceded at least twice in six straight matches and go into this one without their coach, two suspended midfielders and their own supporters. Germany have kept three clean sheets in four games under Klopp, including 2-0 against this Serbia side six weeks ago.
Mitrović and Vlahović are the reason to hesitate. Serbia scored in three of their four group defeats without either of them, and both are back. I still don’t see where the supply comes from with Maksimović and Lukić out, and Germany’s back line has let in two goals all autumn.
The straight away win was priced at 1.17 for the Munich game and will be short again here, well under the minimum we’d recommend. Germany to win without conceding is our pick. No price had been published at the time of writing, so check it is above 1.45 first.
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