- 1 New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues: 32.7 shots a game and a 7-2-0 record at Prudential Center
- 2 New Jersey Devils: Hughes on 19 points and a penalty kill at 67.6%
- 3 St. Louis Blues: Hofer’s 2.42 and a blue line missing four defensemen
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
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New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues: 32.7 shots a game and a 7-2-0 record at Prudential Center 
New Jersey takes 32.7 shots a game and allows 24.5, an eight-shot gap that sits behind a 10-5-0 record and second place in the Metropolitan. St. Louis visits Prudential Center on Thursday 5 November, puck drop 7:00pm ET, at 7-7-1 and 3-5-0 on the road.
The Devils are 7-2-0 at home. On Tuesday they beat Edmonton 4-3 in a shootout, Jack Hughes scored twice and added an assist, and Connor Hellebuyck made 18 saves in his first home start since the trade from Winnipeg on 23 October.
That trade changed this team’s season. Before it, Jake Allen and Nico Daws had a combined .880 save percentage, 23rd in the league, and New Jersey has since won 5-1 in Dallas and 5-2 against Vegas, with a 5-2 loss in Colorado the only defeat among its last five games.
St. Louis has been harder to read. Across its last five games the Blues beat Boston 4-1 and Detroit 5-4, and they were shut out 4-0 by Carolina and 2-0 by Montreal before Tuesday’s 3-1 loss to the Rangers.
The Blues have 15 points, sixth in the Central, and they score and allow exactly 3.00 goals a game. New Jersey is at 3.40 scored and 2.87 allowed.
The moneyline has New Jersey around 1.59 and St. Louis around 2.50. The total is 5.5 goals, and both teams played on Tuesday, so neither has a rest advantage.
New Jersey Devils: Hughes on 19 points and a penalty kill at 67.6% 
Jack Hughes leads New Jersey with 19 points, eight goals and 11 assists, on 59 shots. He had three points on Tuesday, and Connor Brown added a goal and an assist against the Oilers.
Hellebuyck went into that game with a .923 save percentage and a 1.50 goals-against average in two starts, and the Devils have given up 2.87 goals a game overall. The numbers from before his arrival are in that average, so his effect on it is still working through.
Shot volume is the clearest strength here. At 32.7 for and 24.5 against, New Jersey is outshooting opponents by more than eight a game.
The penalty kill is the exception. It sits at 67.6%, with 11 power-play goals allowed, and St. Louis has scored nine with the man advantage at a 20.5% rate. The Devils take few penalties, 86 minutes through 15 games, and that’s how they’ve lived with it.
The last two weeks have been kind to this team. New Jersey beat Los Angeles 3-1 on 24 October, won in Dallas three days later and went into Vegas on 30 October and won by three goals, so its 5-2 loss in Colorado is the only blemish on a 4-1 stretch.
Casey’s knee injury keeps him out until around 20 November, and he’s the only name on the injury report. Brendan Dillon was a scratch on Tuesday, so New Jersey has close to a full roster for this one.
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St. Louis Blues: Hofer’s 2.42 and a blue line missing four defensemen 
Joel Hofer has been the stable piece in goal, with six wins, a 2.42 goals-against average and a .917 save percentage, and he was 10th in the NHL in goals-against average going into this week. Jordan Binnington is 1-3-0 at 4.11.
Hofer was the listed starter in New York on Tuesday, so a Binnington start here wouldn’t be a surprise and would change the price of this game. The Blues have allowed 28.2 shots a game, 3.7 more than New Jersey.
The defense is short. Torey Krug is listed out until June, Tyler Tucker until around 11 November, Logan Mailloux until around 24 November and Colton Parayko has been questionable with an upper-body injury. Dillon Dube is out until December up front.
Offense comes in bursts. Jimmy Snuggerud leads the team with eight goals and 11 points on 32 shots, Dylan Holloway has 12 points and nine assists, and Mason McTavish has six goals. The Blues have beaten Vegas 6-2 this season, and the same team was shut out by Carolina and Montreal in October.
The recent results show the range. St. Louis scored nine goals across the wins over Boston and Detroit, then managed one on Tuesday in New York, and its 3-5-0 road mark includes that loss.
Special teams are where St. Louis competes. The penalty kill is at 84.6%, the power play at 20.5%, and the Blues have three short-handed goals.
Probable lineup New Jersey Devils: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup St. Louis Blues: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: New Jersey Devils vs St. Louis Blues
Our prediction: New Jersey Devils to win (1.59)
We’re on New Jersey at 1.59. A 7-2-0 home record, an eight-shot differential a game and Hellebuyck in goal stack up well against a road team at 3-5-0 with four defensemen hurt or doubtful.
The penalty kill at 67.6% is the concern, and a 20.5% Blues power play can punish it. New Jersey’s low penalty count limits that exposure, and St. Louis has been shut out twice in its last five games.
If Binnington starts for St. Louis, this becomes a stronger position. We wouldn’t lay the puck line, since Tuesday’s win over Edmonton needed a shootout.
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