- 1 Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: three home goals in six league games at Ashton Gate
- 2 Bristol City: 12 of 18 points away, and a home attack that has stalled
- 3 Wolverhampton Wanderers: 0.9 expected goals against, and third place after Cardiff
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
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Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: three home goals in six league games at Ashton Gate 
Bristol City have scored three league goals at Ashton Gate this season. Six home games have produced two wins and four defeats, and three of those defeats finished 1-0.
Michael Skubala’s side have lost once in seven on the road, with three wins and three draws, and they won 3-2 at Bolton on Saturday. Twelve of their 18 points have come away from Bristol.
Wolves come next, on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 20:00 UK time. Cesar Peixoto’s side are third on 24 points after a 3-0 win over Cardiff on Saturday, with 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats and a goal difference of +7. Bristol City are 14th, six points behind them.
History sits with the visitors. Wolves have won ten of the last 14 meetings to Bristol City’s two, and the most recent was a 2-1 Wolves win at Ashton Gate in January 2025. League games on this ground since 1998-99 read four Wolves wins, two home wins and two draws.
Wolves are 2.10, the draw 3.50 and Bristol City 3.25. We think the visitors are the right side, and the home scoring record is the reason.
Bristol City: 12 of 18 points away, and a home attack that has stalled 
The six home results for Bristol read 0-1 against Sheffield United, 0-1 against Blackburn, 1-0 against Watford, 0-1 against Lincoln, 2-1 against Portsmouth and 0-2 against Millwall. Four of the six ended without a home goal.
Away from Ashton Gate the same team has scored 12 in seven, including 3-1 at Preston, 2-1 at Burnley and Saturday’s 3-2 at Bolton. Their only away defeat was the 4-1 at Southampton.
Dominic Ballard and Twine have four league goals each, and Cardines has six assists, the highest figure in the squad. Over the last ten matches they’ve averaged 1.00 goal scored and 1.10 conceded.
Their expected goals in the league run at 1.3 for and 1.4 against, so a side with a -2 goal difference is close to where the underlying numbers place it. Across the last ten games they’ve taken 0.75 points a game at home against 1.83 away.
Dickie has a knee injury and Noah Eile is out with an illness, and both have missed the last few weeks. Luke McNally has returned from a long absence and is expected in the back line.
Skubala’s side have kept two clean sheets in the league, and both teams have scored in 11 of the last 14 meetings with Wolves.
Knight has been the busiest player in the side, with 533 passes and 56 duels won, and Ballard has eight shots on target. The home wins over Watford and Portsmouth are the only two league games at Ashton Gate in which Skubala’s team have scored at all.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers: 0.9 expected goals against, and third place after Cardiff 
Wolves allow 0.9 expected goals a game in the league, against 1.7 created. Those two figures explain the climb to third better than the goals column does, since they’ve won by a single goal in several of their recent games.
The league results show it: 1-0 against West Brom, 2-1 at Burnley, 1-0 against Watford and 1-0 at Sheffield United. Saturday’s 3-0 over Cardiff was a wider margin than most of that run.
Fer Lopez leads the side with six goals and three assists, and Adam Armstrong has three. Marvelous Munetsi has two, and Peixoto’s front line has had to manage without Raul Jimenez, who’s out with a knee injury and has three league goals himself.
The away record is the weaker half. Wolves have won at Burnley, Sheffield United and Preston, but they’ve lost at Middlesbrough and 4-2 at West Ham and drawn 2-2 at Birmingham. Over the last ten matches they’ve taken 1.40 points a game on the road and 2.00 at home.
That 1.40 is well short of Bristol City’s away figure, but it’s almost double the 0.75 points a game they’ve taken at Ashton Gate over the same stretch.
Djiga, Konan and Traore are also listed as out. Kieran Trippier is expected at right-back, with Andre and Munetsi in midfield.
Over their last ten matches in all competitions Wolves have averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded, with clean sheets in 40% of them. They can also score freely when a game opens up, as the 4-1 win over Stoke and the 3-1 win at Preston showed.
Probable lineup Bristol City: Collins; Tanner, McNally, Eissat, Pring; Knight, De Keersmaecker; Yah, Cardines, Ballard; Tolaj
Probable lineup Wolverhampton Wanderers: Sa; Trippier, Mosquera, Krejci, Bueno; Andre, Munetsi; Said, Lopez, James; Armstrong
Free Football Prediction: Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Our prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers to win (odds 2.10)
Bristol City have scored three goals in six home league games and failed to score in four of them. Wolves are third, they allow 0.9 expected goals a game, and they’ve won ten of the last 14 meetings. At 2.10 we’d back them.
Bristol City’s away form proves this squad can play, and they arrive from a 3-2 win. Wolves’ own road form is only moderate, which is why we wouldn’t go much shorter than this price. The totals market is split, with over and under 2.5 goals both at 1.91, even though 11 of the last 14 meetings went over that line.
The Wolves draw no bet at 1.53 is a sensible alternative for a more cautious stake. Our preference is the outright win, with a 1-0 or 2-0 the score we expect.
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