- 1 Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks: the Pacific leaders against a team with one win in eight
- 2 Edmonton Oilers: McDavid’s 37 points, and a team that’s been better away from home
- 3 Anaheim Ducks: Carlsson’s 18 points, and goaltending stopping 87% of shots
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks: the Pacific leaders against a team with one win in eight 
Edmonton hasn’t allowed a goal in its last two games. Tristan Jarry stopped all 18 shots he faced on Long Island on Halloween in a 4-0 win over the Islanders, three days after the Oilers beat Calgary by the same score at home, and the result took them to 10-2-2 and first place in the Pacific Division.
Anaheim is moving the other way. The Ducks have won once in their last eight games, going 1-6-1, and they’ve allowed 13 goals in their two most recent outings: a 6-5 overtime loss to Vancouver on 27 October and a 7-6 loss to Buffalo two nights later.
The teams meet on Thursday 5 November in Edmonton, with puck drop at 8:00pm ET, which is 1:00am UK time on Friday. It’s their second meeting of the season. The first, on 7 October in Anaheim, finished 5-2 to Edmonton.
Both teams travel into this one, though not in the same way. Edmonton finishes a three-game eastern trip in New Jersey on Tuesday, after stops on Long Island and at Madison Square Garden, and then flies home with a day to reset. Anaheim plays in Vancouver on Tuesday, comes to Edmonton on Thursday and has to be in Calgary the following night, so this is the first half of a back-to-back.
The special-teams gap is the clearest edge. Edmonton’s power play has converted 16 of 48 chances, 33.3%, while Anaheim’s penalty kill sits at 75.0% and the Ducks have allowed 50 goals, 28th in the league. When a defense that leaky meets a power play that efficient, the number of penalties Anaheim takes will probably decide how wide the final score gets.
Edmonton Oilers: McDavid’s 37 points, and a team that’s been better away from home 
Connor McDavid has 8 goals and 29 assists through 14 games, 37 points in all. Leon Draisaitl leads the team with 12 goals and has 26 points, and Evan Bouchard has added 23 points from the blue line, 16 of them assists.
That top end explains why Edmonton scores 4.21 goals per game, second in the NHL. The scoring isn’t limited to the stars, either. Vasily Podkolzin has 9 goals, and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored twice against the Islanders, the second of them on the power play from a McDavid and Draisaitl setup.
Mike Babcock has split the net almost evenly. Jarry is 4-1-2 with a .901 save percentage and a 2.53 goals-against average in seven appearances, and Devon Levi is 6-1-0 in seven, with a lower .887 and 3.11. With a road game in New Jersey two nights earlier, either of them could get the start on Thursday.
The weak spot is the penalty kill. It runs at 74.4%, below the league average of 78.4%, and the Oilers allow 3.00 goals per game overall. Toronto scored seven against them at home on 24 October, and Detroit won a shootout in Edmonton two nights later.
The home record deserves a mention because it cuts against the obvious read. Edmonton is 4-2-2 at home and 6-0-0 on the road, so the Oilers haven’t been as dominant in their own building as their overall record suggests. Eight home games are a small sample, and I wouldn’t read too much into it against a team in Anaheim’s current form.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Anaheim Ducks: Carlsson’s 18 points, and goaltending stopping 87% of shots 
Leo Carlsson leads Anaheim with 18 points, 4 goals and 14 assists, from 13 games. Jackson LaCombe has 14 points from defense, and Beckett Sennecke has scored a team-high 8 goals.
The Ducks can score. They average 3.31 goals a game, their 43 goals rank 15th in the league, and their power play has converted 12 of 42 chances, 28.6%. They put five past Vancouver and six past Buffalo in their last two games and lost both.
The goaltending is why those nights ended in defeats. Lukas Dostal is 4-4-1 with an .872 save percentage and a 3.56 goals-against average in nine games, and Ville Husso is 1-3-0 with an .857 and 4.12 in five. Neither number gives Joel Quenneville much to work with against the second-highest-scoring attack in the NHL.
The season started well enough. Anaheim won in Vegas and beat Florida in overtime in its first two games, then won in Winnipeg and Calgary. From 13 October to 22 October the Ducks lost five straight in regulation, including a 5-2 defeat at Madison Square Garden and a 4-1 loss in New Jersey, and the only win since was 5-4 in Philadelphia.
The schedule adds another layer. Anaheim plays in Vancouver on Tuesday, in Edmonton on Thursday and in Calgary on Friday, three road games in four days. Quenneville may be tempted to split his goalies across the back-to-back, which would put either Dostal or Husso in the Edmonton net on the night the Ducks face McDavid.
Probable lineup Edmonton Oilers: Lines not announced at time of publication. Projected core: Tristan Jarry or Devon Levi in goal; Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Vasily Podkolzin, Kasperi Kapanen, Mathieu Joseph; Evan Bouchard, Mattias Ekholm on defense.
Probable lineup Anaheim Ducks: Lines not announced at time of publication. Projected core: Lukas Dostal or Ville Husso in goal; Leo Carlsson, Beckett Sennecke, Cutter Gauthier, Mikael Granlund; Jackson LaCombe, Tristan Luneau on defense.
Free NHL Prediction: Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks
Our prediction: Edmonton Oilers to win in regulation
I’m taking Edmonton in 60 minutes. The Oilers have the league’s second-best attack, a power play at 33.3% against a penalty kill at 75.0%, and an opponent whose two goalies are stopping fewer than 88% of the shots they face. Anaheim has lost seven of its last eight and allowed 13 goals in its last two games.
The honest worry is Edmonton’s own defending. The Oilers allow three goals a game, their penalty kill is below league average, and Anaheim’s power play is good enough to punish them. Even so, the Ducks would need a far better night in net than anything they’ve produced since mid-October, and they’ll be playing the first game of a back-to-back.
No odds had been posted for this game at the time of writing. Check the regulation price before betting: if it falls below 1.45, the Oilers -1.5 puck line is the alternative. Eight of Edmonton’s ten wins came by two goals or more, including the 5-2 win in Anaheim on 7 October.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of Edmonton Oilers and Anaheim Ducks on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply