- 1 Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators: 21 goals allowed in four games, against a Senators team without Ullmark
- 2 Anaheim Ducks: Carlsson’s 18 points and a team save percentage under .875
- 3 Ottawa Senators: Ullmark’s .945 on the shelf, and a backup group at .861 and .849
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
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- 11 About visuals
Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators: 21 goals allowed in four games, against a Senators team without Ullmark 
Buffalo scored seven times at Honda Center on Thursday night, and Anaheim lost 7-6. Two nights earlier the Ducks had led Vancouver by three goals with under eight minutes left and lost 6-5 in overtime. They’ve now allowed 21 goals in their last four games and 36 in their last eight.
Anaheim are 5-7-1 with 11 points, fifth in the Pacific, and have lost seven of their last eight. The home record is 1-4-1. Sunday’s game against Ottawa, on 1 November at 8:00pm ET (5:00pm in Anaheim), closes a three-game homestand before a trip through Western Canada.
Ottawa are 8-5-1 with 17 points. They’re also two games into a five-game road trip and have lost both, 4-1 in Vegas and 6-5 in overtime in Los Angeles on Thursday, after trailing 5-1 in the third period and tying it with 1:40 left in regulation.
The Senators play in San Jose on Saturday afternoon, so Sunday is the second night of a back-to-back. Anaheim last played on Thursday and will have had two days off.
Ottawa won both games last season, 3-2 at Honda Center on 20 November 2025 and 2-0 at home on 14 March 2026. Seven goals in two games is a long way from what both teams are conceding this season.
Anaheim Ducks: Carlsson’s 18 points and a team save percentage under .875 
Carlsson has four goals and 14 assists, and he’s had three straight multi-point games, his second such streak this season. He’s the first Duck to do that twice in a season since Getzlaf in 2017-18. LaCombe has 14 points and an assist in five straight games.
The power play converts 23.7%. Gauthier has four goals this season, all with the man advantage, and scored twice on the power play on Thursday, the first ending a nine-game drought. Sennecke leads the team with eight goals, and Roger McQueen scored his first NHL goal against Buffalo in his eighth game.
Neither Anaheim goaltender is above .875. Lukas Dostal is 4-4-1 with a 3.56 GAA and an .872 save percentage, and allowed six on 33 shots against Vancouver. Ville Husso is 1-3-0 at 4.12 and .857, and gave up seven on 31 shots on Thursday.
The team in front of them doesn’t help much. Anaheim take 23.5 shots a game and allow 27.7, win 46.1% of faceoffs, and kill 77.6% of penalties. Including Thursday, they’ve scored 43 goals and allowed 50 in 13 games.
Troy Terry is on long-term injured reserve with a hip problem, Ryan Poehling is out with an MCL sprain, and Ian Moore is on IR. Pavel Mintyukov has been on IR since 23 October with an estimated return around 1 November.
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Ottawa Senators: Ullmark’s .945 on the shelf, and a backup group at .861 and .849 
Linus Ullmark was 7-1-0 with a 1.33 GAA and a .945 save percentage when he got hurt in the third period of a 5-1 win over Florida on 21 October. He went on injured reserve the next day, was expected on 27 October to miss at least another week, and his estimated return is 7 November.
Without him, the numbers have dropped sharply. Jonas Johansson is 1-1-0 with a 4.04 GAA and an .861 save percentage and was pulled on Thursday after allowing four on 16 shots. Samuel Ersson is 0-3-1 with a 4.47 GAA and .849, and made 20 saves in relief in Los Angeles.
Ottawa’s scoring has kept them in games. Stützle has 19 points, Batherson 16 with a six-game point streak that includes a hat trick in the 7-4 win over the Rangers on 24 October, and Cozens scored twice in Los Angeles.
The power play is the weak spot, converting 12.7% before Thursday. The penalty kill is at 77.8%, almost level with Anaheim’s, and the Senators win 52.4% of their faceoffs.
Warren Foegele is out with a knee injury and William Eklund is out for 10 to 12 weeks after ankle surgery. Andre Burakovsky is day-to-day, and Thomas Chabot returned on Thursday.
Probable lineup Anaheim Ducks: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Ottawa Senators: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Anaheim Ducks vs Ottawa Senators
Our prediction: Over 6.5 goals
We’re going with goals. Anaheim’s last three games finished 7-6, 6-5 and 5-4, and Ottawa’s last four have produced 11, 5, 11 and 8. Neither team has a goaltender currently playing to a save percentage above .875, and Ottawa will be on the second night of a back-to-back with one of Johansson or Ersson in net.
Last season’s two meetings produced five goals and two goals, which is the argument for the Under. We don’t think those games tell us much about this version of either team: Ottawa had Ullmark to lean on until 21 October, and Anaheim’s defensive numbers have collapsed over the last fortnight.
Sunday’s total hadn’t been posted when we filed. Anaheim’s home game against Buffalo on Thursday was set at 6.5, and we’d expect the same line here at a price above our 1.45 floor.
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