- 1 Lyon vs Angers: eight home wins in a row against Sunday’s visitors
- 2 Lyon: five straight home wins, but no goal in two games
- 3 Angers: ten goals conceded in two games, then a goalless draw
- 4 Free Ligue 1 Prediction: Lyon vs Angers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Lyon vs Angers: eight home wins in a row against Sunday’s visitors 
Lyon have won each of their last eight home league games against Angers, and the visitors haven’t taken a point off them in eight Ligue 1 meetings. That record is on the line at the Groupama Stadium on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 16:15 UK time, in a game that was meant to be played on Saturday night.
The Rhône prefecture asked for the change. A third national day of protests is planned for Saturday 31 October, police units are needed in town centres, and the league moved the fixture back by almost a full day. Nice against Rennes and Lorient against Brest were rescheduled for the same reason.
The table explains why Lyon can’t treat this as routine. Paulo Fonseca’s side are fifth, a point above Lens, after losing 2-0 at Paris Saint-Germain on Monday night, with Mika Godts and Senny Mayulu scoring. It was only their second league defeat of the season, but it pushed them out of the top four.
Angers arrive 14th, one point above Strasbourg in the play-off place and three clear of Troyes. Stéphane Gilli, the former Paris FC coach who replaced Alexandre Dujeux when Dujeux left for Lorient, has two wins from eight league games, and the latest result was a 0-0 draw at home to Lorient.
Both sides have been short of goals lately. Lyon have drawn a blank in their last two competitive matches, at the Parc des Princes and in a 3-0 Europa League defeat at Hoffenheim, while Angers have failed to score in two of their last six league games. I’d expect the first goal to carry more weight than usual on Sunday.
Lyon: five straight home wins, but no goal in two games 
The home record is the strongest argument for Lyon. They’ve won five matches in a row at the Groupama Stadium across all competitions and scored 12 goals in that run, which includes a 4-0 win over Rennes, a 3-1 win against Auxerre and a 3-2 win over Crystal Palace.
Their defence has held up as well. Lyon have conceded five goals in Ligue 1, the joint second-lowest total in the division, and the only sides to beat them domestically are Lens, 2-1 at the Bollaert, and PSG.
The worry is in attack, and it’s largely an injury story. Pavel Sulc is out for around four months with a knee injury, Nicolas Tagliafico and Mohamed Ouedraogo are also sidelined with knee problems, and Lois Openda is listed among the injured.
Keito Nakamura is expected back. The winger missed the trip to PSG through suspension after a red card, and his return gives Fonseca a direct option out wide alongside Nuamah and Duranville. Without Sulc’s runs from midfield, more of the scoring falls to Merah through the middle.
The likely midfield of Tessmann, Morton and Tolisso is built to control possession rather than chase games, which suits a fixture where Lyon will have most of the ball. In their two league defeats this season, they scored once in total.
Fonseca’s back line is settled: Greif in goal, Kluivert and Niakhate in central defence, and Mata and Abner at full-back.
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Angers: ten goals conceded in two games, then a goalless draw 
Angers’ season swings between two extremes. They can keep games tight, with 0-0 draws at Le Havre and at home to Lorient and a 2-0 win over Troyes, and they can also come apart: Brest beat them 5-1, and Marseille won 5-2 at their ground.
The Lorient draw came straight after that Marseille defeat. Anthony Lopes has two clean sheets this season, and his experience behind a back four of Arcus, Camara, Lefort and Kalulu is the main reason Angers can hope to stay level for an hour in Lyon.
Goals are harder for them to find. Angers have scored six times in their last six league games, and two of those came in the 5-2 defeat to Marseille.
Fitness is a concern in attack. Amine El Ouazzani, the likely starter up front, is listed as doubtful, as are Bane Diatta and Emmanuel Biumla. If El Ouazzani misses out, Allevinah is the probable replacement, with Sbai and Raolisoa on the flanks.
In midfield, Belkhdim and Van den Boomen are expected to sit in front of the defence, with Belkebla in the central attacking role. That pair will spend long spells without the ball against Tessmann, Morton and Tolisso.
History offers little encouragement either. Angers haven’t beaten Lyon in their last eight league meetings, and they’ve lost on each of their last eight league visits to Lyon.
Probable lineup Lyon: Greif; Mata, Kluivert, Niakhate, Abner; Tessmann, Morton, Tolisso; Nuamah, Merah, Duranville
Probable lineup Angers: Lopes; Arcus, Camara, Lefort, Kalulu; Belkhdim, Van den Boomen; Raolisoa, Belkebla, Sbai; El Ouazzani
Free Ligue 1 Prediction: Lyon vs Angers
Our prediction: Lyon to win and under 3.5 goals
Lyon’s home form and this head-to-head record point the same way. Five straight home wins, eight straight home wins against Angers and a defence that has conceded five league goals all season make the home win the starting point.
Adding under 3.5 goals reflects the injuries on both sides. Lyon have failed to score in their last two matches and are without Sulc, Angers have scored six goals in six league games, and their likely striker is a doubt.
The risk is a slow afternoon in which Lyon have the ball and Lopes keeps it level, which is how Lorient’s visit to Angers went last weekend. I’d still back Lyon to find one or two goals over 90 minutes, and a 1-0 or 2-0 fits what both teams have shown this autumn.
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