- 1 Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: two Spurs wins in a week against the league’s leakiest defence
- 2 Tottenham Hotspur: a first clean sheet at Stamford Bridge since 1986
- 3 Crystal Palace: one win in six, 13 goals conceded and five players missing
- 4 Free Premier League Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: two Spurs wins in a week against the league’s leakiest defence 
Crystal Palace are 17th in the Premier League and have conceded 19 goals in eight games, more than any other side. Across all competitions in 2026 they’ve let in 50, again the most in the division.
Their last two league weekends brought a 5-0 defeat at Brighton and a 2-0 home loss to Newcastle. Pierre Sage, who replaced Oliver Glasner in the summer, has called the noise around his position normal, while reports have already named a frontrunner to take his job.
Tottenham are moving in the other direction. Roberto De Zerbi’s side beat Coventry City on Monday 19 October for their first league win of the season, then won 2-0 at Chelsea five days later. They sit 14th with nine points from eight games.
The match is at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 17:30 UK time. Palace have a Carabao Cup tie at Fulham on Wednesday night before it, and a Europa League game against Hoffenheim after it.
Prediction markets price Spurs at around 1.56, with the draw near 4.55 and Palace close to 5.88. That’s short for a team that went six league games without a win before last week.
I still think it’s the right side of the price. Over the last fortnight Spurs have taken six points and Palace none, and Palace have conceded seven goals in those two league games.
Tottenham Hotspur: a first clean sheet at Stamford Bridge since 1986 
Tottenham’s win at Chelsea ended decades of bad afternoons in west London. It was the first time since December 1986 that they won at Stamford Bridge while keeping Chelsea off the scoresheet, and their first clean sheet there in any competition in that time. Before Saturday, Spurs had won once in 41 away matches against Chelsea in all competitions since 1990.
The goals came late. Mike Penders punched a Mateus Fernandes corner into his own net on 77 minutes, and Mathys Tel ran at the Chelsea defence before scoring with a low shot from the edge of the area on 87 minutes. Spurs had 15 shots to Chelsea’s seven.
The expected goals were modest, 0.74 for Spurs and 0.43 for Chelsea. De Zerbi’s side controlled the game more than they carved it open, and Omar Marmoush’s 29th-minute effort was their clearest chance of the first half.
James Maddison went off injured early in the second half, in only his second start since May 2025, and Conor Gallagher replaced him. There has been no update on the extent of the problem, so Maddison has to be treated as a doubt for Saturday.
Antonin Kinsky in goal and Andy Robertson at left-back both started in that win. Spurs have no Carabao Cup tie this week, so De Zerbi has had a full week to prepare while Palace travel to Craven Cottage on Wednesday.
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Crystal Palace: one win in six, 13 goals conceded and five players missing 
Palace’s last six matches in all competitions read: a 0-0 draw at Leeds, a 3-1 home win over Nottingham Forest, a 3-2 defeat in Lyon, the 5-0 at Brighton, a 2-2 draw in Istanbul against Besiktas and Sunday’s 2-0 loss to Newcastle. That’s one win and 13 goals conceded.
The Brighton result was the low point. Palace had beaten Middlesbrough 3-0 in the Carabao Cup third round last month, but the 2025 FA Cup winners have looked a different side since the Forest game. Losing 5-0 to a local rival is hard to shake off inside a week, and the Newcastle defeat at Selhurst Park didn’t suggest the confidence had come back.
Injuries account for part of it. Chadi Riad (knee), Takehiro Tomiyasu (calf) and Quinten Timber (thigh) are out, and Jorgen Strand Larsen and Ismaila Sarr both missed the Newcastle game with knocks. Dean Henderson has missed nine matches with an ankle problem, which leaves Walter Benitez in goal.
Without Strand Larsen and Sarr, the attack relies on Eddie Nketiah, with Dwight McNeil and Evann Guessand supporting him. The expected back three is Jefferson Lerma, Honest Ahanor and Chris Richards, with Oscar Mingueza and Ben Chilwell as wing-backs.
The fixture list doesn’t help either. Palace go to Fulham in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday, then Spurs on Saturday, then Hoffenheim in the Europa League, three games in nine days for a squad with several first-team players unavailable. They’ve also lost five of their eight league matches.
Probable lineup Tottenham Hotspur: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Crystal Palace: Benitez; Lerma, Ahanor, Richards; Mingueza, Wharton, Hughes, Chilwell; McNeil, Guessand; Nketiah
Free Premier League Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
Our prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win (1.56)
Spurs have won their last two league games and kept a clean sheet in the second, while Palace have conceded seven in their last two league matches. The home side should create more than they did at Chelsea against a defence that has let in 19 in eight.
The price of 1.56 is short, and Spurs’ attack hasn’t been prolific: two wins from eight is still a poor return. But Palace arrive three days after a cup tie, with injuries in defence and attack and a manager under scrutiny, and that shifts this game further towards the hosts than the table does.
I’d back Tottenham to win. Palace’s only victory in their last six came at home to Forest, and on the road in that run they lost at Lyon and Brighton and drew at Leeds and Besiktas.
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