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Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks NHL prediction

Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks – Free NHL Prediction

Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks: three straight Flyers wins against five straight Ducks losses NHL

Philadelphia averages 1.67 goals per game this season, and the Flyers have still won three in a row. They beat Ottawa 3-1, Colorado 3-2 and Buffalo 3-1 on Wednesday, allowing four goals across the three games.

Anaheim comes to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Saturday with the opposite run. The Ducks have lost five straight, four of those by at least two goals, and the latest was a 4-1 defeat in New Jersey on Thursday night.

Puck drop is 1pm ET on NHL Network. That’s an early afternoon start for a team that was playing in Newark less than 48 hours earlier, while Philadelphia last played on Wednesday.

The standings don’t separate them by much. Philadelphia is 3-6-3 and seventh in the Metropolitan Division. Anaheim is 4-6-0 and fifth in the Pacific. Both teams have injury lists long enough to change who plays on the top two lines, and both have goaltending decisions still to confirm.

The market has the Flyers as a small home favorite, around 1.83 on the moneyline, with Anaheim near 2.02 and a full-game total close to six goals. We think that price on Philadelphia is fair, and we’d weigh what both teams have done over the past ten days more heavily than their season-long numbers.

Philadelphia Flyers: 1.67 goals a game, and four allowed across three wins Philadelphia Flyers

The Flyers’ run hasn’t come from their offense. They score 1.67 goals per game, and three goals has been the ceiling in each of the three wins, which leaves almost no room for a bad period.

Defense has done the work instead. Philadelphia allowed one goal to Ottawa, two to Colorado and one to Buffalo, and that’s despite conceding 31.9 shots per game over the season. A team that gives up that many shots and still wins 3-1 twice in a week is leaning hard on its goaltending.

Joseph Woll, acquired from Toronto in a trade on June 16, 2026, has a 2.64 GAA and a .917 save percentage. Dan Vladar sits at 3.15 and .900. Early reports projected Vladar for Saturday, but no starter had been confirmed at the time of writing.

Matvei Michkov leads the team with six goals and shares the points lead on eight with Trevor Zegras, whose five assists are the most on the roster. Two forwards are carrying most of the scoring, and the injury report explains a large part of why.

Travis Konecny, Owen Tippett and Nikita Grebenkin are all on injured reserve. On the blue line, Cam York and Rasmus Ristolainen are out as well. Before this three-game streak, Philadelphia had lost back-to-back games to Detroit and Seattle.

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Anaheim Ducks: 23.4 shots a night and a losing streak at five Anaheim Ducks

Anaheim’s shot volume is the first problem. The Ducks put 23.4 shots on net per game, and on Saturday they face a Flyers team that has allowed one goal or fewer in two of its last three games.

The losing streak includes a 5-2 defeat to the Rangers, a 3-2 loss to the Islanders and Thursday’s 4-1 loss in New Jersey, where they scored once. Over the five defeats the Ducks have averaged fewer than three goals a game. For the season they score 2.70 per game and allow 3.30.

Leo Carlsson has 11 points, nine of them assists, and most of Anaheim’s offense still runs through him. Beckett Sennecke leads the team with five goals, while Mikael Granlund and Jackson LaCombe have eight points apiece.

The absences go deep. Troy Terry is on long-term injured reserve after hip surgery. Ryan Poehling, Ian Moore, Jeff Malott and Judd Caulfield are unavailable, and Pavel Mintyukov’s lower-body injury takes a puck-moving defenseman out of the lineup.

Lukas Dostal is 3-4-0 with a 3.16 GAA and an .881 save percentage, and Ville Husso is at 3.09 and .888. Dostal was the projected starter in earlier reports. Neither goalie’s numbers suggest Anaheim can win a low-scoring game on goaltending alone, which is exactly how Philadelphia has been winning.

Probable lineup Philadelphia Flyers: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Anaheim Ducks: Not announced at time of publication

Free NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Anaheim Ducks

Our prediction: Philadelphia Flyers to win (moneyline) at 1.83

We’re backing Philadelphia on the moneyline at around 1.83. The Flyers have allowed four goals in three games, and Anaheim brings 23.4 shots per game into an afternoon start after a Thursday night in New Jersey.

The risk is the Flyers’ offense. At 1.67 goals per game, Philadelphia has no cushion, and one deflection can push this to overtime. Anaheim’s 2.70 goals per game is the better scoring rate on the season, and Carlsson can create chances on his own.

We still put more weight on the last ten days than on October as a whole. Philadelphia has won three straight with the same low-event structure, while Anaheim has lost five, four of them by two goals or more, and plays without Terry, Poehling and Mintyukov. We expect a 3-2 or 2-1 Flyers win.

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