Top NBA “UNDER” player trends to pick (!) — our AI’s best calls before the night of 07 February 2026 :
Top Trend Success Rates
Last 7 days
xx%
Previous release
xx%
⚠️: These are AI-driven leads for your analysis — factor in minutes played, a player’s health and off-court status (health and off-court) and the projected minutes from our algorithm to tighten up your NBA convictions.
🔎: Pick from this tight selection for singles (priority) or parlays. This is the step before our daily pick!
💡: Our trends update all day — hit F5 to refresh.
🧪: Wondering what the badges mean? Simple. See the legend below. Each badge lines up, in order, with its bullet point and flags a detected trend.
Example: If a player has 4+ badges, that’s a TOP TREND — trends line up and the green light is on.
means “current form”
means “home form”
means “away form”
means “form vs opponent”
means “opponent defense rank”
means “absence and injury opportunity”
T. Eason @ OKC : UNDER 10.5 Points
Odds: 1.95 – -105 – 19/20
- Under in 3 of his last 4 NBA games: 75%
- Under in 3 of his last 4 games vs OKC: 75%
- Oklahoma City: best defense in points allowed this season
- Oklahoma City: 2nd best points defense at home
- Oklahoma City: 4th best points defense over the last 3 games
Q. Grimes @ PHX : UNDER 10.5 Points
Odds: 1.89 – -112 – 89/100
- Under in 3 of his last 4 NBA games: 75%
- Under in 5 of his last 6 games vs PHX: 83%
- Phoenix: 5th-best defense by points this season
- Phoenix: 4th-best defense by points at home
C. Wallace vs HOU: UNDER 3.5 Assists
Odds: 1.95 – -105 – 19/20
- Under in 14 of his last 16 games: 88%
- Under in 9 of his last 11 games vs HOU: 82%
- Houston: 2nd-best defense in assists this season
- Houston: 3rd-best defense in assists on the road
- Houston: 2nd-best defense in assists vs shooting guards
A. Wiggins vs HOU: UNDER 3.5 Assists
Odds: 2.1 – +110 – 11/10
- Under in 15 of his last 20 games: 75%
- Under in 8 of his last 10 home games: 80%
- Under in his last 6 games vs HOU: 100%
- Houston: 2nd-best defense in assists this season
- Houston: 3rd-best defense in assists on the road
- Houston: 2nd-best defense in assists vs power forwards
V. Wembanyama vs DAL: UNDER 3.5 Assists
Odds: 1.77 – -130 – 77/100
- Under in his last 20 games — 95%
- Under in 10 of his last 10 home games — 100%
- Under in 3 of his last 4 games vs DAL — 75%
- Dallas: 3rd-best at limiting assists against power forwards
J. Smith vs DEN: UNDER 9.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.88 – -114 – 22/25
- Under in 7 of his last 8 games — 88%
- Under in 4 of his last 5 home games — 80%
- Under in his last 4 games vs DEN — 100%
- Denver: 5th-best rebounding defense on the road
D. Daniels vs CHA: UNDER 6.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.85 – -118 – 17/20
- Under in 5 of his last 6 NBA games — 83%
- Under in 6 of his last 8 games vs CHA — 75%
- Charlotte: best rebounding defense this season
- Charlotte: 2nd-best rebounding defense on the road
- Charlotte: 2nd-best at limiting rebounds against point guards
A. Wiggins vs HOU: UNDER 16.5 Points
Odds: 1.98 – -102 – 49/50
- Under in 18 of his last 20 NBA games — 90%
- Under in 10 of his last 10 home games — 100%
- Under in his last 11 games vs HOU — 100%
- Houston: 4th-best points defense this season
- Houston: 3rd-best defense on the road
A. Sengun @ OKC: UNDER 5.5 Assists
Odds: 1.82 – -122 – 41/50
- Hit the under in 4 of their last 5 NBA games: 80%
- Hit the under in 4 of their last 5 away games: 80%
- Hit the under in 3 of their last 4 vs OKC: 75%
- Oklahoma City — 5th-best at limiting assists this season
- Oklahoma City — 5th-best at limiting assists at home
A. Caruso vs HOU: UNDER 2.5 Assists
Odds: 2.1 – +110 – 11/10
- Hit the under in 12 of his last 15 games: 80%
- Hit the under in 5 of his last 6 vs HOU: 83%
- Houston — 2nd-best at limiting assists this season
- Houston — 3rd-best at limiting assists on the road
- Houston — 2nd-best at limiting assists against shooting guards
A. Simons vs DEN: UNDER 3.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.87 – -115 – 87/100
- Under in his last 5 games: 100%
- Under in 4 of his last 5 home games: 80%
- Under in 4 of his last 5 vs DEN: 80%
- Denver — 5th-best at defending rebounds on the road
- Denver — 4th-best at defending rebounds against shooting guards
N. Marshall @ SAS: UNDER 3.5 Assists
Odds: 1.95 – -105 – 19/20
- Under in his last 5 games: 100%
- Under in his last 4 vs SAS: 100%
- San Antonio — 4th-best at limiting assists in the past 3 games
J. Ivey vs DEN: UNDER 3.5 Assists
Odds: 2.18 – +118 – 59/50
- Went under in 11 of his last 12 NBA games — 92%
- Under in 9 of his last 10 home games — 90%
- Under in 3 of his last 4 games vs DEN — 75%
J. Grant vs MEM: UNDER 3.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.68 – -147 – 17/25
- Under in 8 of his last 9 games — 89%
- Under in 9 of his last 10 home games — 90%
- Under in 5 of his last 6 games vs MEM — 83%
D. Green @ LAL: UNDER 8.5 Points
Odds: 1.87 – -115 – 87/100
- Under in 6 of his last 7 NBA games — 86%
- Under in 5 of his last 5 away games — 100%
- Under in 6 of his last 8 games vs LAL — 75%
R. Hachimura vs GSW: UNDER 4.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.84 – -119 – 21/25
- Under in 5 of his last 6 NBA games — 83%
- Under in 9 of his last 10 home games — 90%
- Under in 6 of his last 8 games vs GSW — 75%
C. Braun @ CHI: UNDER 5.5 Rebounds
Odds: 1.82 – -122 – 41/50
- Hit the under in 7 of his last 8 NBA games — 88%
- Hit the under in 4 of his last 5 road games — 80%
- Hit the under in his last 4 games vs CHI — 100%
K. Durant @ OKC : UNDER 4.5 Assists
Odds: 1.8 – -125 – 4/5
- Hit the under in 6 of his last 8 NBA games — 75%
- Hit the under in 4 of his last 5 road games — 80%
- Hit the under in his last 5 games vs OKC — 100%
- Oklahoma City: 5th-best in limiting assists this season
- Oklahoma City: 5th-best at home in limiting assists
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