WNBA 
– MathODDS’s Pick of the Day
(POTD) #1 :
⚠️ Disclaimer:
We always recommend reading our analysis to form your own opinion and avoiding parlays. We work daily to optimize our algorithm, but it’s not an exact science. Last season, the POD had a 70.1% success rate in the NBA. This is our most prestigious analysis, a unique format.
Rickea Jackson (Los Angeles Sparks)
OVER 14.5 PointsWNBA POD Analysis:
Rickea Jackson (Los Angeles Sparks) OVER 14.5 Points:
You can also, if you have the option and availability, take the lower point threshold for added safety.
Without Plum, Rickea becomes the #1 option
When Plum is out, Rickea takes charge of the offense. In her last 6 WNBA games without Plum, she surpassed the 13.5-point mark in 6/7 games, averaging 18.1 points. Tonight, she’s not only missing Plum but also Sims and potentially other secondary options — a clear path in terms of usage.
History vs. Seattle: Consistent Dominance
Jackson has always shined against the Storm:
14+ points in her last 3 games against Seattle, averaging 20 points- At home? Same trend: 2/2 overs, averaging 19 points
This isn’t a fluke. Rickea has the perfect profile to attack Seattle’s defense, especially with her ability to play face-up or at mid-range.
Volume + Minutes = Winning Combo
The signals are green for playing time:
Two consecutive games with 30+ minutes
18 and 30 points scored in those two games
The trend is clear: when Rickea plays 30+ minutes, she dominates the stat sheet.
Plus, she exceeded this point threshold in all 3 matchups last year against Seattle when playing 30+ minutes.
Tactical Analysis
Seattle’s defense is stronger than last year but remains vulnerable to hybrid 3-and-4 profiles like Rickea. With more ball-handling opportunities, she can initiate plays, attack closeouts, and draw fouls.
Her aggressiveness should also lead to more free-throw attempts, a key asset for quickly covering this point threshold.
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