Strasbourg – Monaco: Can Monaco keep their Cup run going? 
The French Cup doesn’t forgive hesitation. Strasbourg host Monaco in the last 16 with a clear brief: avoid another abrupt exit. At the Meinau the home side want to take another step. Monaco see this as a rare shot to salvage a season by making a Cup run.
Strasbourg: proving the rise is real 
Strasbourg have their Cup moments. Three-time winners, yet they rarely go deep these days. Since 2001 they’ve often fallen early, seldom past the last 16.
This season feels different. Even with a mid-season coaching change, there’s a thread of coherence. Seventh in Ligue 1, top of their Conference League group, Strasbourg have found stability since last year.
Last weekend’s loss to PSG — even with a man advantage — ended a long unbeaten run. It hurt, but it didn’t erase the progress. Under Gary O’Neil the team look steady and able to grind out results, especially at home.
Their Cup run shows it. Dunkerque and Avranches were swept aside without drama, and the Meinau remains a fortress. Six wins from the last nine home matches in all competitions. That’s enough to dream.
Monaco: the Cup as a Plan B 
Monaco’s season has more doubt than clarity. The big win over Rennes was a relief, but it papered over a bumpy run. Tenth in Ligue 1, well off the podium and out of title talk, Monaco know the Cup is probably their best route to silverware.
Form has been patchy. One win in the five matches before Rennes, and away days have been a problem. The Cup has offered a few bright spots against Auxerre and Orléans, but consistency is missing.
Head-to-head history favors Monaco. Six wins in the last seven meetings, one of them this season, and three straight victories on the road in Alsace. Those numbers matter.
Also worth noting: recent Cup exits for Monaco ended on penalties. The fans dread that lottery as much as they hope to avoid it.
Probable lineups
Strasbourg :
Penders; G. Doue, Høgsberg, Doukoure, Chilwell; Barco, El Mourabet; Moreira, Enciso, Godo; Panichelli
Monaco :
Kohn; Vanderson, Teze, Kehrer, Ouattara; L. Camara, Zakaria; Akliouche, Golovin, Fati; Balogun
Prediction: Strasbourg vs Monaco
Monaco win or draw
This one looks tight. Strasbourg come in confident and tough to beat at home. Monaco, though, hold the psychological edge in head-to-heads. The visitors have shown they can shut things down recently, and that matters in a knockout tie.
Expect a scrappy, low-margin game. Monaco have the tools to hang on. Qualification probably won’t come easy.
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