Match context — Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts 
Indianapolis rolls into Seattle in near-total chaos. In two weeks the Colts have lost three quarterbacks: Daniel Jones (Achilles), Anthony Richardson (IR) and rookie Riley Leonard, questionable. Result: Philip Rivers has been called back… at 44. Whatever they pick on Sunday, Indy’s offense is in survival mode.
The Seattle Seahawks, by contrast, is cruising. The Seahawks come off a commanding 37–9 win in Atlanta and are 7–1 over their last eight. The defense has turned into one of the league’s most dominant units, while the offense manages things without sweating. At home, against a gutted team, this is ideal.
Keys to the matchup Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts
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Everything depends on Indy being able to do something on offense. Seattle is top-3 in the NFL against the run and good at wrecking one-dimensional attacks. If Jonathan Taylor gets bottled up, the Colts will have to throw… with a makeshift quarterback, against a defense that chokes off the intermediate game and forces turnovers.
Seattle doesn’t need to overdo it. A quick lead, a clean running game and an aggressive defense will do. The longer it goes, the wider the physical and tactical gap should get.

Free Pick Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts
Pick: Seattle Seahawks -13,5
The spread is huge, but the context fully justifies it. Indianapolis has no stability, no continuity, and no credible solutions at the position that matters. Seattle can control this from whistle one to whistle last without putting itself at risk.
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