Phoenix Suns – Utah Jazz: perfect chance to get back on track in Arizona
This Saturday night the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix hosts a Western Conference clash that looks one-way on paper. The Suns, stuck in a rough patch, welcome a Utah Jazz side in full collapse with nothing to play for. Time for the home team to stomp the gas and deliver a statement win in front of their crowd.
Phoenix Suns: stop the bleeding 
In Arizona the alarm bell is ringing. With a 40-33 record the Suns are sliding through a nasty spell, dropping frustrating losses to the league’s top teams. On paper they look balanced and solid, but consistency has deserted them.
At home (23-15) they still have real claims. The match will be won by the side that controls the tempo. Against an opponent that loves to run wild at the expense of getting back, Phoenix has the experience and basketball IQ to slow things down, protect the ball and pick apart every crack in Utah’s defense with a clinical half-court attack.
Utah Jazz: doors wide open 
From Salt Lake City this season has been a slog (21-52). Their road form is horrific — just 8 wins in 35 trips. Like Phoenix they’ve lost four of five, but Utah’s problems run much deeper: they simply can’t get stops.
Allowing a staggering 125.2 points per game, Utah has one of the worst — if not the worst — defenses in the NBA. It’s a shame, because on the other end there’s talent and ball movement (29.4 assists for 117.3 points). They play fast and create shots, but that all-or-nothing pace leaves them exposed to killer transition buckets and forces their offense to overproduce just to hang around.
NBA Pick Phoenix Suns vs Utah Jazz
Phoenix -16.5
Bookmakers haven’t been shy setting a brutal spread for this one. The Suns need a confidence boost after a rough week and they won’t be kind to this Jazz group. Utah’s defense is a sieve (125 allowed per night) and they’ve been historically bad away from home. Phoenix boasts an obscene talent edge across the board and will want to have this wrapped by halftime to rest the vets. The -16.5 line is ruthless, but backing a heavy home blowout is the logical play here.
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