Miami Heat – Washington Wizards: Heat eye sixth straight
This Tuesday night it’s a clash of extremes in the Southeast Division. The Kaseya Center welcomes a Washington Wizards side in freefall. On one end you’ve got a Miami team humming along, desperate to lock down a Top 6 spot in the Eastern Conference. On the other, a D.C. outfit digging hard for the worst record in the league. Both teams love to push the pace and run, but in efficiency they aren’t even playing the same match.
Miami Heat: the machine is rolling 
Everything’s clicking in the Sunshine State. The Heat (36 wins, 29 losses) are on a five-game winning streak. And they haven’t just been beating up on the league’s stragglers. Erik Spoelstra’s crew also took down Houston (115-105), Charlotte (128-120) and Detroit on Sunday (121-110). Against the Pistons the game was over early — +18 after the first quarter and they were merciless from the line (23/25 on free throws).
Miami’s playing at the fastest tempo in the NBA this season, which is a bit out of character. Still, when it’s time to lock up, they do it — they’ve got the fourth-best defensive efficiency in the league. Offensively the threat comes from everywhere. Tyler Herro is scorching hot (25 points vs Detroit), Bam Adebayo owns the paint (24 points, 9 rebounds, 6 assists) and Jaime Jaquez Jr. runs the second unit like a pro (19 points, 7 dimes). Even with a few guys out, this team is built to crush weaker opponents at home (21 wins in 32 home games).
Washington Wizards: tanking mission confirmed 
For the Wizards it’s a complete trainwreck. With a brutal 16 wins and 47 losses, D.C. are on an eight-game skid and own the second-worst record in the East. The plan’s obvious: play the youngsters and pray for the lottery. On Sunday they were torn apart by the Pelicans, losing 118-138 and letting New Orleans shoot 53% from the floor.
There was a splash with the Trae Young trade. In his second game in a new jersey he put up 17 points and 8 assists, but it barely masks the team’s holes. Youngsters Tre Johnson (20 points) and Will Riley (19 off the bench) flash some potential, but the paint is a no-man’s land. French prospect Alex Sarr is back, but he still gets bullied physically inside. Bottom line: this squad launches too many reckless shots and seems to have forgotten how to defend.
NBA Pick: Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards
Over 240 points
You’ve got a Miami Heat team playing at the league’s fastest pace against a Wizards group that refuses to guard and favors chaotic run-and-gun basketball. With Trae Young in the mix, Washington’s pace will only pick up, which should create a lot of easy transition points for the Heat. Expect Miami to win without breaking a sweat on offense. We back the Over, projecting a big offensive night for the home side — think something like 132-118.
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