Los Angeles Lakers – Milwaukee Bucks: showdown of MVP candidates
The Los Angeles Lakers host the Milwaukee Bucks in a game between two teams that can be brilliant or a complete mess this season. On paper it looks tasty. The context, though, clearly favours the Californians: solid at home, while the Bucks still can’t find consistency away from Milwaukee.
Los Angeles Lakers: bounce back after the drubbing in San Antonio 
The Lakers are in decent form — four wins in their last six, three of those at the Crypto.com Arena. With Luka Doncic and LeBron James, Los Angeles are one of those teams that, when they’re clicking offensively, can flip a game fast thanks to collective efficiency and the ability to score in the half-court.
The recent loss in San Antonio (91-107) is symptomatic of the problems J.J. Redick’s side can run into. When shots aren’t falling the offence turns static and the Lakers’ chances shrink big time. Still, the overall output is solid: 116.3 points per game with a team shooting rate of 50%. At home, even without Austin Reaves, they keep a high baseline.
Milwaukee Bucks: don’t let Giannis do it alone 
Milwaukee arrive with a weaker record than tonight’s opponents (16-21) and, above all, recurring problems on the road (7-12). The Bucks can compete when they control the boards and limit turnovers, but too often defensive holes wreck their work. The recent loss at Golden State (113-120) sums it up: an offence that can keep up, but a defence that gives in too easily.
Statistically, the Bucks score 113.3 points and concede 115.6. Their success will depend on cleaner play, a slower tempo and domination on the glass. In a more open game, they’ll feel the Lakers’ offensive power. Finally, the supporting cast has to show up. Giannis’ output is predictable and will (almost) always be there — the others need to pull their weight.
NBA pick Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks
Lakers to win
At home the Lakers offer more certainty, especially in shot quality and in managing cold spells. Milwaukee has too often struggled away, especially in tight finishes. Even with a few potential absences, Los Angeles looks better equipped to take this one — and they’re still unbeaten in clutch moments this season.
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