Match context Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants 
You can’t get a more dead rubber than this Raiders vs Giants game — it reeks of tanking (losing on purpose to snag the top prospects next season). Both teams sit at 2–13, nine straight losses each, and they’ve got no real sporting purpose… except not being the one who “wins” the race for the first pick. New York still hasn’t won on the road this season, while Las Vegas hasn’t shown any offensive coherence for weeks.
On the Giants’ side, Jaxson Dart has clearly hit a wall. With a decimated offensive line and a glaring lack of explosiveness, the offense is sputtering despite decent volume on paper. The Raiders aren’t much better: the league’s last offense in yards and points, near-total dependence on Ashton Jeanty, and a Geno Smith still prone to mistakes.
The keys to the clash Las Vegas Raiders 
vs New York Giants 
This game will probably be decided by what both teams do worst: moving the ball consistently. New York has a decent running game and can attack a Raiders defense that’s average against the run, but converting drives remains a huge question mark.
Las Vegas, meanwhile, faces a Giants defense that’s catastrophic against the run, which gives Jeanty a favourable matchup. But without a steady aerial threat and with a weakened offensive line, the Raiders are capped offensively. Everything points to a choppy, slow game with few truly productive possessions.
Free NFL pick Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants
Under 42.5 total points in the game.
We’re looking at two teams mentally and structurally fried. Offensive talent’s too weak on both sides to expect a high score. Every drive should be a battle for a few yards. In that context, take New York and the points and back the total under — it’s the most logical play.
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