Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans - Free NBA prediction and tips - January 16, 2026

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans – Free NBA prediction and tips – January 16, 2026

Indiana Pacers – New Orleans Pelicans: who will be the best 15th seed ?

A showdown between two strugglers — the Pacers and the Pelicans — both sitting at the bottom of their conferences. Still, it could be more watchable than you think. Plenty of talent on both rosters. Momentum, oddly enough, is trending up for each club.

Indiana Pacers: take care of business at home

The Pacers have three wins in their last four, including a tight one over Boston (98-96) built on serious defensive work. That result feels like an outlier for an Indiana side that likes to play fast — same vibe when Tyrese Haliburton’s out there — and this season that speed has mostly exposed a lagging defense: 118,3 points allowed per game, putting them in the lower third of the league.

Offense is where they really struggle. Third-worst scoring in the league at just 110,6 points per game, Indiana flat-out has trouble putting the ball in the hole. The team shooting percentage tells the tale: 44,2% on the season, dead last in the NBA. Still, there’s been signs of life lately — they lit up the Heat (123-99) — and when they’re hitting, they become dangerous fast.

New Orleans Pelicans: on the verge of another streak?

The Pelicans have found a bit of form, beating the Nets (116-113), and they have a golden chance to follow up with a second straight win — only the third time this season they’d do that. On the road, they’re a mess: three wins in 18 away games, one of the worst records in the league.

Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III can carry the offense in turn, and their chemistry has shown up recently. But as a unit the offense is messy. Defensively it’s worse: 122,2 points allowed per game. Injuries for this matchup don’t help — Jose Alvarado, Herb Jones and Dejounte Murray are out. Against Indiana, any lapse in focus will be punished; the Pacers can exploit mistakes and make the scoreboard jump.

Bouton PenseBet

NBA Pick Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Over 235,5 points

Two of the league’s worst defenses face off, so it makes sense to expect offensive fireworks. Even if the Pacers have shown they can lock in defensively at times, the odds they repeat that level are low. The Pelicans will struggle to contain Pascal Siakam and the Pacers don’t have a clear answer for Zion Williamson or Trey Murphy III. Expect a high score.

_____

First, a word on our picks

  • What we publish on Mathodds are analyses. Nothing more. We share an opinion, a read of the moment, not a guarantee. Sport is unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a freak goal… and the whole script changes.
  • Let’s be blunt: there’s no risk-free bet. Even when something looks “obvious”, it isn’t. Yes, that means you can lose. At some point you will.
  • Play sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Don’t touch money you need to live on. Don’t chase losses — it never ends well.
  • Betting should be a pastime, not a job or an income source. If it’s taking over your life, making you anxious or stressed, step away. And if needed, talk to a specialist. That’s what they’re there for.
  • In the end, responsibility is yours. Reading our content means you accept the risk exists and that it won’t disappear, even with the best analysis.
  • Important reminder: betting is forbidden to minors and must obey your local laws. Gambling can spiral (financial losses, family tension, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.

No guarantees from us

Our picks aren’t a contract. They carry no legal weight. In short: you can’t rely on them to claim anything if a bet loses.

Info that changes

A prediction is based on what we know when we write it. Between then and kickoff, a lineup changes, a player gets hurt, the weather turns… and the analysis can become outdated fast. We can’t be held responsible for that.

Your job

Before you bet, just check that gambling is legal where you are. If it isn’t, that’s on you, not us.

Responsible gambling first

We’ll keep saying it: play in moderation. If you can’t control it, get help. We’re not responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information on this site.

Legal age

Mathodds content is for adults only. By browsing here you confirm you meet the legal age to bet.

About the visuals

Images and logos on Mathodds, including those of the Indiana Pacers and New Orleans Pelicans linked to the NBA, are for illustration only. They don’t mean we have an official relationship with any federation or sports organization, and we claim no rights over them.

Those rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, an image causes a problem, contact us and it will be removed promptly.

Our only aim with these images is to make the article easier to read. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no claiming someone else’s work.

Author

  • Sacha Stermer

    As an NBA and Spurs fan for more than 10 years, I created Buzzer Beater on social media. I also study information and communication as well as write article on Mathodds.


Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *