Alcaraz v Moutet: a third round set for fireworks 
Carlos Alcaraz keeps hunting his first Australian Open title on Friday, facing Corentin Moutet in round three. On paper it looks one-sided, but Moutet has the quirks to make this far more entertaining than it seems.
Alcaraz cruises — without really trying 
So far in Melbourne, Alcaraz hasn’t had to dig deep. Against Adam Walton and Yannick Hanfmann he managed things tidy, never really shifting into top gear — classic Grand Slam opening move for him.
He isn’t blasting at the peaks we’re used to, but there’s no alarm. Alcaraz often saves energy, controls without steamrolling, and only turns the screw when it’s needed. Up to now, that’s done the job.
This third round is a slight step up. Not by ranking so much as by the style and unpredictability he’ll face.
Moutet, an awkward customer 
Corentin Moutet arrives with nothing to lose. He’s never played Alcaraz and has zero pressure. He took care of his opening matches — a clear win over Tristan Schoolkate and a shortened match against Michael Zheng.
For months now he’s played free. A Mallorca finalist last summer, a Washington semi-finalist, he’s showing a stretch of consistency we rarely see from him. His oddball tennis — variations, sudden pace changes and creativity — can bother anyone, especially early on.
That said, the third round has often been his ceiling at Slams. He’s never gone further in Melbourne, so getting past the world No.1 would be a proper upset.
Open match, but a clear favorite
If Alcaraz grabs control early, it could finish quickly. But if Moutet settles, breaks the rhythm and hangs on to a few games, viewers will get a lively, sometimes messy, rarely boring contest.
It probably won’t be enough to topple the Spaniard, but it could make the score tighter than expected.
Tennis Prediction Carlos Alcaraz vs Corentin Moutet
Moutet to win at least 9 games
Alcaraz is still the heavy favourite to progress, but Moutet’s style and current form should let him impose himself and avoid a whitewash. Alcaraz’s opponents have each taken 11 games so far and the Spaniard has played 2 tiebreaks.
Photo credits: ATP
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