Aston Villa – Brighton: a night to steady the ship 
Wednesday night at Villa Park and Villa have one clear task: stop the bleeding in the league. Brighton roll into the Midlands without much confidence, stuck in a run that’s dragged on for weeks. Not exactly set-up for fireworks, but both teams have something to lose and that usually sharpens things up.
Aston Villa: the table still looks good, the football less so 
On paper Villa’s season holds up. The standings back that up. On the pitch, though, the signs have been worrying for weeks.
The draw at Bournemouth barely raised eyebrows. Villa controlled most of it but never killed the game. Same tune as lately. Before that, the home loss to Brentford felt odd — flat, almost resigned. Few chances, low tempo, no answers.
Fact: one win from the last five Premier League games. Club admit it’s a dip, but in a tight table it starts to gnaw.
Nothing dramatic in the standings yet, but the margin is shrinking. Emery knows that. At home these fixtures need three points, even if you don’t shine. Especially since the memory of the trip to the Amex is still fresh — Villa hit Brighton hard in an open match there, messy but deadly effective.
Brighton: a momentum that’s unravelling 
Brighton have been drifting since late autumn. The loss to Crystal Palace last weekend simply confirmed a slide that’s been building.
Points are thin on the ground. Three from the last five. One win in the last 12 league games. Those numbers don’t lie — they’re hard to ignore.
On the pitch the team lacks cohesion. Promising spells are too brief and too rare. The attacking bite has dulled, and at the back nerves return the moment the game quickens.
A trip to Villa Park comes at the worst possible time. Up against a side desperate for reassurance, Brighton will have to withstand plenty to leave with anything but a bruising.
Match Prediction Aston Villa vs Brighton
Aston Villa to win
Villa aren’t firing on all cylinders, but the context favors them. Brighton arrive deflated, short on confidence and short on collective certainty.
At home, even without total dominance, Villa have the tools to make the difference. These sorts of games are decided by a moment, a well-timed spell of intensity. Right now Brighton struggle to cope with that.
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