Equatorial Guinea – Algeria: last-ditch hope vs controlled calm 
Wednesday in Rabat, Equatorial Guinea plays for survival in CAN 2025 against an Algeria already through to the last 16. The two teams couldn’t be more different heading into this final group game: one side pinned to the wall, the other a favourite who can afford to manage.
Equatorial Guinea: no room for error 
Nzalang Nacional’s tournament hasn’t gone to plan. Despite a few bright moments, Equatorial Guinea still haven’t picked up a single point. Against Burkina Faso they thought they’d held on, only to collapse in stoppage time. Versus Sudan, an own goal was enough to flip the tie.
With zero points on the board, it’s simple: they must win and pray for favourable results elsewhere. The real issue is attacking efficiency. Three goals in their last six competitive matches — that’s nowhere near enough to compete at this level.
Juan Micha can lean on Emilio Nsue’s experience — quiet so far but still capable of turning a match. At the back, the team will also be missing several key players, which makes the equation even tougher.
Algeria: through, but expected to be serious 
Two games, two wins: Algeria did the job. A big win over Sudan, then a tighter victory against Burkina Faso secured the Fennecs’ place in the last 16 without breaking a sweat.
Riyad Mahrez has again shown he’s the team’s main man, both in open play and from set pieces. Around him the balance is solid, with a reliable midfield and a defence rarely exposed.
Vladimir Petkovic could rotate the squad. Some seniors are being rested, others are chasing minutes. That might make Algeria a touch less fluid, but the mentality should stay competitive, especially from players keen to make a mark before the knockout stage.
Probable line-ups
Equatorial Guinea : Owono, Akapo, Orozco, Coco, Anieboh, Mascarell, Ganet, Machin, Salvador, Miranda, Nsue
Algeria : Mandrea, Belghali, Mandi, Bensebaini, Aït-Nouri, Zerrouki, Boulbina, Chaïbi, Hadj Moussa, Amoura, Bounedjah
Takeaways
- Equatorial Guinea must win to have any hope of qualifying.
- Algeria are already through and could rotate their squad.
- The Fennecs stay solid even without points pressure.
- A match that could be more open than the previous ones.
Football Prediction Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria
Both teams to score
Equatorial Guinea have nothing to calculate — they’ll have to attack. Algeria, even with changes, have the quality to hit back. In that setup, a game with chances at both ends looks likely.
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